Thursday, October 29, 2009

Going to Peay

JSU is headed to Austin Peay this weekend. A win would keep JSU in a tie for first in the Best Team in the OVC standings. A loss would be disastrous.

Peay appears to be somewhat improved, they are 3-4 on the year and are riding a 2 game winning streak. If JSU was overconfident, it need not look any further than Peay's game against EIU. Peay lost by 10, JSU lost by 8. Peay also had a shocking upset over EKU last weekend, but were heavily aided by turnovers. I'm not sure this is your Daddy's EKU team however, as EKU also lost to Tennessee State.

Peay also defeated Division 2 Newberry and hapless SEMO, not exactly enough to earn a BCS at large berth. Their losses have come against Youngstown, Illinois State, EIU and Tenn. Tech.

Peay's defense may be a weak spot. They have given up 30+ points in four games this year,including a 38-7 shellacking by Illinois State. That is the same Illinois State team that EIU defeated 31-6.

If you stop the run, you stop Peay. They are led by Ryan White, 113 yards per game, and Terrence Holt, 80 yards per game. Peay averages 187 yards per game on the ground. It will be an interesting matchup as the Cocks yield only 127 yards per game and if you take out the Georgia Tech game, that number is much better.

Another interesting matchup will be when JSU passes. JSU averages 259 yards per game passing (again a deceptive number considering JSU played two BCS teams) and Peay gives up 219 yards per game.

All in all, this appears to be a game that JSU should jump on Peay early and take them out of their comfort zone. Perrilloux should throw for 300+ yards. Prediction: JSU 41 - Peay 10.

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